(TPM) A new Marquette University poll of the Wisconsin gubernatorial race shows Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker (R) leading Democratic challenger Mary Burke by 5 percentage points, his largest lead by that pollster since March.
This moves the TCT’s statistical model to a dead heat again — 50% Walker, 50% Burke. A real nailbiter, 5 weeks before the election.
(Ruthelle Frank, The Guardian) In October 2011, an article appeared in my local paper reporting that, in order to vote in the next election, everyone was going to need a state-issued identity card for the first time. At 85 years old, I didn’t have one, because I’m handicapped and so I never drove a car or needed an ID.
The newspaper said that I’d have to go to the Department of Motor Vehicles (DMV) and register for a card, and it had a list of the documents that I needed to bring. I hadeverything – except for the legal birth certificate. I’m not sure my parents ever gave that to me. I did have a baptism certificate that was notarized, but that was all.
My daughter drove me down to the DMV with my stack of paperwork, and we tried to ask the receptionist if I had everything, but she just handed me a form with a mess of questions on it. I told her I didn’t have a birth certificate, but she didn’t say I couldn’t go further, so we sat down and I filled it out and brought it back to her.
She barely looked at it, handed it back to me and sent me to the photo department, so I thought we were all set. But after the photo person took my picture, he sent me to another woman, and I handed her the form and my stack of papers, and she just threw my baptism certificate back at me and said it wasn’t valid and I couldn’t get an ID.
She even said, “How do I know you’re not an illegal alien?!”
How, then, can we say Burke, the Madison School Board member and former Trek Bicycle executive, is leading?
There’s a long answer that involves a complex statistical model developed for the Cap Times, which takes into account polls released in the last 13 months and an analysis of their creators’ accuracy relative to past performance.
The model shows that, for 60 percent of the 25,000 simulations the model has run, Burke holds an advantage over Walker as of today. The estimate — when including only those respondents who have expressed support for one of the two major-party candidates — is 50.7 percent for Burke, 49.3 percent for Walker.
It’s tighter than [insert sexual metaphor here], but a lead’s a lead and I’ll take it.
(Chicago Sun-Times) Republican Kathy Myalls is urging voters to elect her to a seat in the Illinois State Legislature.
But will she vote for herself?
It’s a fair question, since records show Myalls has voted in both Illinois and Wisconsin in recent years.
In one case, she cast a votein a primary election in Illinois. Then just three months later, records show she voted in Wisconsin to cast a ballot in the state’s recall election. The effort was aimed largely at recalling Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker — someone with whom Myalls is pictured on her Facebook page. Myalls then voted in Wisconsin’s presidential general election in 2012 before returning to Illinois to vote the following spring.
When asked about her vote in the Walker recall, Myalls said in a phone interview:
“No. I don’t think I did,” she said. “I don’t think they canceled my registration up in Fontana. And that may be what you’re seeing. They didn’t automatically cancel it.”
Illinois voting records show that Myalls has been registered to vote from her Wilmette address from 2005 to the present. By her own admission, Myalls was registered to vote in a second home located in Fontana, Wisconsin, since 1996. Records show she voted in separate elections in both states in 2008 and 2012.
This follows the news from earlier this year that major Walker donor Robert Monroe, an insurance exec, voted for Walker 5 times in the recall.
I’ll say now what I said then; if Republicans are so worried about voter fraud, they should just stop doing it.
(AP) Wisconsin’s state budget will be nearly $1.8 billion in the red by mid-2017 based on a new estimate Monday, providing Democrats with more fodder to argue that Gov. Scott Walker and Republicans in control of the Legislature have mismanaged the state’s finances.
Scooter’s road to reelection just keeps getting rockier.